Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Aerospace Electromechanical: It is planned to reduce the capital of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Hong Kong Holdings, by 52.5 million US dollars. Aerospace Electromechanical announced on the evening of December 10 that in order to improve the efficiency of capital use and reduce the risk of overseas operation, while ensuring the normal operation of Shanghai Aerospace Holdings (Hong Kong Holdings) Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hong Kong Holdings"), the company plans to reduce the capital of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Shanghai Aerospace Holdings (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. by 52.5 million US dollars. After the company recovers the capital reduction, it will all be used to repay the M&A loan.Suzhou Industrial Park Phase II Industrial Investment Fund registered and established with a capital contribution of 10 billion yuan. According to Tianyancha App, Suzhou Industrial Park Phase II Industrial Investment Fund (Limited Partnership) was recently established, with Suzhou Yuanfeng Capital Management Co., Ltd. as the executive partner, with a capital contribution of 10.01 billion yuan, and its business scope covers private equity investment fund management and venture capital fund management services. According to the partner information, the fund is jointly funded by Suzhou Industrial Park State-owned Capital Investment Operation Holding Co., Ltd., Suzhou Industrial Park Economic Development Co., Ltd. and Suzhou Yuanfeng Capital Management Co., Ltd.
The Nikkei 225 index closed at 39,197.42 points in early trading, up 0.09%.Easyhome: It spent 19,443,600 yuan to buy back shares, with the highest transaction price of 3.26 yuan/share. On December 9, Easyhome announced that the company would buy back shares by centralized bidding for the first time through the special securities account for share repurchase, with 6,012,800 shares repurchased, accounting for 0.10% of the company's total share capital, with the highest transaction price of 3.26 yuan/share and the lowest transaction price of 3.26 yuan/share.The diet pills sector strengthened locally, with Changshan Pharmaceutical rising by over 13%, followed by Hanyu Pharmaceutical, Shengnuo Bio, Hongyuan Pharmaceutical and Borui Pharmaceutical.
China's trade account in November was 692.8 billion yuan, with the previous value of 679.1 billion yuan.Guangdong: By 2025, the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption will strive to reach about 30%. In principle, no new self-provided coal-fired units will be added. The Guangdong Provincial People's Government issued an action plan for continuous improvement of air quality in Guangdong Province to develop clean and low-carbon energy. By 2025, the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption will strive to reach about 30%, and electric energy will account for about 40% of terminal energy consumption. Improve the operation mechanism of natural gas pipeline network, and industrial and commercial users with annual gas consumption of more than 10 million cubic meters, close to the main pipeline and with direct download conditions can implement direct supply. New natural gas will give priority to ensuring residents' lives, replacing clean energy sources in industrial boilers and furnaces, and using transportation vehicles and boats. The "coal to gas" of industrial boilers and furnaces should be promoted in an orderly manner under the condition of implementing the gas supply contract. Reasonable control of coal consumption. Promote energy saving and consumption reduction of existing coal-fired generating units. In principle, no new self-owned coal-fired units will be added, and self-owned power plants will be encouraged to turn into public power plants. The Pearl River Delta region has gradually expanded the scope of Class III (strict) no-burn zone for highly polluting fuels, and the Class III no-burn zone in eastern Guangdong, western Guangdong and northern Guangdong has been expanded to urban built-up areas at or above the county level. Coal-fired power projects and their coal consumption that support stable power supply, safe operation of power grid and large-scale consumption of clean energy should be reasonably guaranteed.Wan Liyang: The aluminum alloy die-casting project invested and built by the company in Jiangshan, Zhejiang Province has been put into production. Wan Liyang said on the interactive platform on December 10th that the aluminum alloy die-casting project invested and built by the company in Jiangshan, Zhejiang Province has been put into production.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13